STAT 200 EXAMPLE FINAL EXAM

100 points possible

1.    A dietitian wants to compare the average calories in two kinds of loaves of bread, plain white and whole wheat.  A simple random sample of 20 loaves of each type of bread from a local bakery results in the following:

Plain White Whole Wheat
sample mean 1800 1789
sample standard deviation 10 20
sample size 20 20
Assuming that the two population standard deviations are not equal, conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the average calories in the two types of bread are different.  State the hypotheses, carry out the test, give the degrees of freedom, use a table to bound the P-value, and state your conclusion in terms of this particular problem using a significance level of 5%.     (10 points)

                      H0:  ____________             Ha: _____________

                      Test Statistic:

                       d.f. = ______                       ___________ < P-value < ___________

                      Conclusion in terms of this particular experiment:
 

2.  What are p-values and how are they used in hypothesis testing? (5 points)
 

3.  If we say a statistical inference procedure is robust, what does this mean? (5 points)
 

4.     A recent newspaper article reported that 78% of people surveyed were opposed to televising trials.  The article indicated that the study had a 3% margin of error.  Assuming that this survey, like most such surveys reported, used a 95% confidence level, determine how many people were surveyed.  Show your work.  (6 points)

 Answer   ___________

5.    Most of our hypothesis tests and confidence interval procedures require that randomization in sampling or experimentation has occurred.  Why?  (5 points)
 
 

6.    A manufacturer tests three different displays for selling a certain product by setting up a display  in twelve different stores with similar overall sales so that each display type occurs in 4 stores.  The number of units sold for one month is recorded for each of the 12 stores used.  The manufacturer calculates the analysis of variance F test statistic and finds F = 4.63.

a. Give the degrees of freedom for this test and bracket the p-value for this test and interpret the result (in terms of this problem) using a 5% significance level.  (6 points)

    Answer     d.f. are ______ and  ______       __________< p-value < __________
 

    Conclusion:

  b. What assumptions must hold for this test to be valid?   (5 points)

7. Explain the difference between the terms standard error and standard deviation.  In answering this question, distinguish between these two terms using a specific statistic, e.g., the sample mean.
(6 points)
 

8.    Assuming that the population standard deviations are equal, a test of
H0: µ1 = µ2 vs Ha: µ1 > µ2  with independent samples of sizes of n1 = 10 and n2 = 18 is completed and the calculated test statistic is found to be  t = 2.101.  Give the degrees of freedom and bracket the p-value for this test.  (6 points)

 Answer d.f. =  ________    and   __________ < p-value < ___________
 

9.    Researchers speculate that the proportion of left-handers has grown with time because there is less tendency to force children into right-handedness.  A sample of 100 individuals of three different age classes is taken to test this hypothesis.  Use the results below to answer the following questions:
 

Age Group
Handedness under 21 21 - 40 41 or above
Left 20 10 3
Right 80 90 97
a. How many left-handers would we expect to observe in our sample of 100 individuals under twenty years of age, if the proportion of left-handers is the same for all age groups? (5 points)
 Answer __________
b. A test of the hypothesis that the proportion of left-handedness is the same for all age groups is conducted and a test statistic of  chi squared = 14.91 is found.  Give the degrees of freedom and p-value for this test statistic and state your conclusion in terms of this problem using a 1% significance level.  (6 points)

 Answer    d.f. = ________   and  _________< p-value < __________

  Conclusion in terms of this problem:
 

c. Give a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of 21-40 year olds that are left handed.  You need not carry out the calculations, simply put all the numbers in the correct places.  (6 points)

10. Suppose you have just completed a hypothesis test and rejected the null hypothesis.  Which of the following statements is correct?  Write the letter of the correct statement in the space provided.
(4 points)
a. You may have committed a type I error.                    Answer _________
b. You may have committed a type II error.
c. Both a and b are possible.
d. No error is possible.
11.  Define the power of a test and describe at least two methods to increase the power of a test.
 

12. Black spruce trees grow slowly in Alaska.  Suppose they grow an average of 32 mm in height per year.  An experiment is conducted using a sample of 17 black spruce trees under experimental conditions to determine if the rate of growth can be increased.  The annual growth in millimeters for the experimental trees are as summarized in the stem plot below:

  0| 1
  1| 9
  2| 467
  3| 34799
  4| 0123468

a. Give a 5 number summary for the growth of the 17 experimental trees and identify any outliers.  (5 points)
 
 b. Is it appropriate to use a one sample t procedure for testing H0: µ = 32 here?  Why or why not? (Hint: discuss sample size, normality, etc.)  (5 points)
13.  A breeder of horses wants to determine the relationship between x = the gestation period and
y = the length of life of a horse.  The breeder collects this information for seven horses.  The data are as follows:
Horse 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
y = Life length in years 24 25.5 20 21.5 22 23.5 21
x = Gestation period in days 416 279 298 307 356 403 265
For these data the fitted least squares regression line is  = 18.89 + .0109x with estimated standard deviation s = 1.971 and the sum of squared deviations for x is 21752.
a.  Is there a significant linear relationship between length of life and gestation period?  Justify your answer and use a significance level of 10%.  (10 points)

 H0:  ___________  versus  Ha: ___________
 

 Calculate the value of your test statistic: Show your work.
 

Give the d.f. = _______                   __________ < p-value < _________

 Conclusion in terms of this specific problem.
 

b.  Give the mean and standard deviation of y = life length.  (5 points)